Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.847726 3.346906 3.929134 4.663749 5.573459 6.672917 8.117350
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.183522 2.825093 3.669321 4.885249 6.631987 9.115788 13.039038
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.781150 2.442021 3.378622 4.846802 7.175601 10.886150 17.604563
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.541197 2.212016 3.220914 4.916611 7.842385 12.995375 23.577525
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.357148 2.021934 3.071978 4.943766 8.417600 15.109548 30.566218
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.248272 1.925438 3.045464 5.157915 9.369599 18.254067 41.488120
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.109818 1.757438 2.866927 5.053294 9.667433 20.149304 50.608314
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.010998 1.641098 2.757246 5.051746 10.172476 22.706642 63.373923
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.918567 1.522961 2.624813 4.975098 10.487346 24.927699 76.915692
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.862017 1.461533 2.588448 5.089793 11.284757 28.800053 100.002495
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.789824 1.362281 2.464017 4.986635 11.510189 31.132718 119.505449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.764778 1.349018 2.508931 5.277173 12.868339 37.755906 167.806062
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.712828 1.286282 2.461459 5.389107 13.930381 44.683461 235.296615
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.673898 1.246682 2.462311 5.640072 15.593415 55.643212 363.745057
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.619519 1.167321 2.360571 5.595117 16.295659 63.332556 498.183868
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.580195 1.114328 2.309962 5.678286 17.500391 74.855759 735.017516
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.542524 1.059956 2.246990 5.710677 18.554423 87.052128 1075.516996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.520512 1.037235 2.256948 5.966328 20.660034 108.815220 1837.239759
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.482324 0.973326 2.153743 5.841377 21.100919 120.318875 2563.913413
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.453709 0.928299 2.092474 5.839529 22.127662 138.394214 3952.918423
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.424223 0.878049 2.010296 5.748053 22.699986 154.145878 5845.218094
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.406420 0.853711 1.994198 5.884957 24.546605 186.513952 10852.760921
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.380688 0.807489 1.911546 5.761818 24.945564 205.142331 16687.481964